# flares

issuetime: 2022-04-01T07:52:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-01T07:52:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-01T07:52:55Z</begin><end>2022-04-01T13:52:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with the largest flare of the past 24 hours an M9.6 at 31/1835 UTC, which originated from AR2975. Solar activity is Likely to be Moderate, with probabilities as per suggested raw values, with particularly significant contributions from AR2975 and now also AR2981.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-01T05:00:00Z">N14W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.92</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.63</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-01T05:00:00Z">N16W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-01T05:00:00Z">S19E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-01T05:00:00Z">S26E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-01T05:00:00Z">S19E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-01T05:00:00Z">N24E64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-01T14:17:04Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-01T14:17:04Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-01T14:17:04Z</begin><end>2022-04-01T20:17:04Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with the largest flare of the past 24 hours an M9.6 at 31/1835 UTC, which originated from AR2975. Solar activity is Likely to be Moderate, with probabilities slightly down on raw values given observations and the significant increase in raw probabilities brought about from AR2978 changing from Eho to Ehi, which may overstate its likely contribution.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-01T13:15:00Z">N14W60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.92</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.63</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-01T13:15:00Z">N16W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-01T13:15:00Z">S18E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-01T13:15:00Z">S27E25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-01T13:15:00Z">S19E54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-01T13:15:00Z">N24E60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-01T20:55:26Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-01T20:55:26Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-01T20:55:26Z</begin><end>2022-04-02T02:55:26Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with only C-class flares. However AR2975 has produced X1.4 and M9.6 flares, and whilst exhibiting some apparent simplification remains a potential source of further similar activity. With nearby AR2976 showing increasing complexity and a new development between these spots, the likelihood of further M-flares remains high. This is further increased by AR2978 and AR2981 which both carry the potential for M-flares, and a very low chance of X-flares.&#160; Overall, activity is likely to increase to Moderate, with a slight chance of becoming High.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">N14W64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.92</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.63</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">N16W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">S18E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">S27E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">S19E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">N24E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-01T20:00:00Z">N13W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-02T02:48:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-02T02:48:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-02T02:48:57Z</begin><end>2022-04-02T08:48:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the last 24 hours, with only C-class flares. However AR2975 has produced X1.4 and M9.6 flares, and whilst exhibiting some apparent simplification remains a potential source of further similar activity. With nearby AR2976 showing some complexity and a new development between these spots, the likelihood of further M-flares remains high. This is further increased by AR2978 and AR2981.&#160; Overall, activity is likely to increase to Moderate, with a slight chance of becoming High.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">N14W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">N16W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">S18E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">S27E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">S19E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">N24E53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-02T02:00:00Z">N12W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-02T07:32:30Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-02T07:32:30Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-02T07:32:30Z</begin><end>2022-04-02T13:32:30Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity rose to Moderate, with AR2975 again producing an M2.9 flare at 02/0256UTC. The chances of further such flares are considered Likely, with C-class expected, largely a result of the presence of three large Zurich E or F groups.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">N14W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">N16W48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">S18E14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">S26E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">S19E45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">N24E51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-02T05:00:00Z">N12W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-02T14:17:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-02T14:17:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-02T14:17:59Z</begin><end>2022-04-02T20:17:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity remains Moderate, with AR2975 again producing an M2.9 flare at 02/0256UTC, and the northwestern trio as a whole perhaps all contributing to the M3.9 at 02/1357UTC. The chances of further such flares are considered Likely, with C-class expected, largely a result of the presence of three large Zurich E or F groups, and increasingly also AR2984.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">N14W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">N16W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">S18E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">S26E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">S19E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">N24E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-02T13:15:00Z">N12W64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-02T20:58:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-02T20:58:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-02T20:58:11Z</begin><end>2022-04-03T02:58:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity remains Moderate, with AR2975 producing an M2.9 flare at 02/0256UTC, and the northwestern trio as a whole perhaps all contributing to the M3.9 at 02/1357UTC. A further M4.3 flare occurred from the northwestern limb area at 02/1744 UTC. Further M-flares are considered Likely, with a slight chance of X-flares.The proton probability is currently at 100% due to an ongoing S1 radiation storm at Earth. The probability of a further radiation storm occurring is 15%.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">N14W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">N15W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">S18E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">S26E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">S19E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">N24E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-02T20:00:00Z">N12W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-03T03:10:19Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-03T03:10:19Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-03T03:10:19Z</begin><end>2022-04-03T09:10:19Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity remains Moderate, with AR2975 producing an M2.9 flare at 02/0256UTC, and the northwestern trio as a whole perhaps all contributing to the M3.9 at 02/1357UTC. A further M4.3 flare occurred from the northwestern limb area at 02/1744 UTC. Further M-flares are considered Likely, with a slight chance of X-flares.The proton probability is currently at 70% due to the recent S1 radiation storm at Earth, this is erratically declining and may still briefly just reach above the threshold in the next few hours. The probability of a further radiation storm occurring is 15%.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">N14W81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">N15W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">S18E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">S26E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">S19E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">N24E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">N12W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-03T02:00:00Z">S20E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-03T09:00:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-03T09:00:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-03T09:00:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-03T15:00:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity was Moderate, with two M-class flares originating from the northwestern trio in the past 24 hours. An M3.9 at 02/1357 UTC and a M4.3 at 02/1744 UTC. In the past 12 hours, Solar activity has fallen to Low with only C-class flares, mostly from the spots near centre disk. Further M-flares are considered Likely, with a Slight Chance of X-flares.With the passing of the S1 radiation storm, the proton probability has now fallen to 15%.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">N14W85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">N15W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">S18W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">S27E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">S19E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">N24E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">N12W74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-03T08:00:00Z">S20E78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-03T14:41:49Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-03T14:41:49Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-03T14:41:49Z</begin><end>2022-04-03T20:41:49Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity was Moderate, with two M-class flares originating from the northwestern trio in the past 24 hours. An M3.9 at 02/1357 UTC and a M4.3 at 02/1744 UTC. In the past 12 hours, Solar activity has fallen to Low with only C-class flares, these originating from both the spots near centre disk and the region rotating off the northwestern limb. Further M-flares are considered Likely, with a Slight Chance of X-flares.With the passing of the S1 radiation storm, the proton storm probability has now fallen to 15%.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2975</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">N14W88</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.17</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">N14W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">S18W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">S27W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">S19E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">N24E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">N12W77</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-03T14:00:00Z">S20E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-03T19:56:25Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-03T19:56:25Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-03T19:56:25Z</begin><end>2022-04-04T01:56:25Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours, however the risk of Moderate activity remains while AR2975 lingers near the western limb, with this group also holding the probabilities of solar radiation storms above background.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">N14W74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">S18W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">S27W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2982</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">S19E25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">N24E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2984</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">N13W82</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-03T17:00:00Z">S20E73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-04T02:16:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-04T02:16:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-04T02:16:33Z</begin><end>2022-04-04T08:16:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours, however the risk of Moderate activity remains while AR2975 lingers near the western limb, with this group also holding the probabilities of solar radiation storms above background.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-04T01:30:00Z">N14W79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-04T01:30:00Z">S18W10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-04T01:30:00Z">S27W07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-04T01:30:00Z">N24E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-04T01:30:00Z">S19E69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-04T08:44:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-04T08:44:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-04T08:44:09Z</begin><end>2022-04-04T14:44:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours, however the risk of Moderate activity remains while AR2975 lingers just around the western limb, with this group also holding the probabilities of solar radiation storms above background.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2976</id><location time="2022-04-04T08:30:00Z">N14W82</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-04T08:30:00Z">S19W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-04T08:30:00Z">S26W11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-04T08:30:00Z">N24E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-04T08:30:00Z">S19E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-04T14:10:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-04T14:10:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-04T14:10:55Z</begin><end>2022-04-04T20:10:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours, however the risk of Moderate activity remains while AR2975 lingers just around the western limb, with this group also holding the probabilities of solar radiation storms above background.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-04T14:00:00Z">S19W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-04T14:00:00Z">S26W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-04T14:00:00Z">N24E20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-04T14:00:00Z">S19E62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-04T19:43:00Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-04T19:43:00Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-04T19:43:00Z</begin><end>2022-04-05T01:43:00Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. The chances of further moderate flares have been revised downward from raw probabilities, as AR2978 is felt to be over-stating the raw daily risk given its history. Ex-AR2975 and Ex-AR2976's position over the western limb is contributing to a slightly raised risk of further S1 events.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-04T17:00:00Z">S19W20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-04T17:00:00Z">S27W16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-04T17:00:00Z">N24E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-04T17:00:00Z">S20E60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-04T17:00:00Z">S26E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-05T02:19:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-05T02:19:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-05T02:19:01Z</begin><end>2022-04-05T08:19:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. The chances of further moderate flares have been revised downward from raw probabilities, as AR2978 is felt to be over-stating the raw daily risk given its history. Ex-AR2975 and Ex-AR2976's position over the western limb is contributing to a slightly raised risk of further S1 events.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-05T01:30:00Z">S18W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-05T01:30:00Z">S27W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-05T01:30:00Z">N24E13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-05T01:30:00Z">S20E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T01:30:00Z">S27E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-05T07:59:25Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-05T07:59:25Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-05T07:59:25Z</begin><end>2022-04-05T13:59:25Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. The chances of further moderate flares have been revised downward from raw probabilities, as AR2978 is felt to be over-stating the raw daily risk given its history. Ex-AR2975 and Ex-AR2976's position over the western limb is contributing to a slightly raised risk of further S1 events.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-05T07:00:00Z">S19W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-05T07:00:00Z">S27W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-05T07:00:00Z">N24E10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-05T07:00:00Z">S20E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T07:00:00Z">S31E77</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T07:00:00Z">N13W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-05T14:50:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-05T14:50:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-05T14:50:48Z</begin><end>2022-04-05T20:50:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. The chances of further moderate flares have been revised downward from raw probabilities, as AR2978 is felt to be over-stating the raw daily risk given its history. Ex-AR2975 and Ex-AR2976's position over the western limb is contributing to a slightly raised risk of further S1 events.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-05T14:00:00Z">S19W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-05T14:00:00Z">S27W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-05T14:00:00Z">N24E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-05T14:00:00Z">S20E49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T14:00:00Z">S31E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T14:00:00Z">N13W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-05T20:39:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-05T20:39:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-05T20:39:16Z</begin><end>2022-04-06T02:39:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. The chances of further moderate flares have been revised downward from raw probabilities, as AR2978 is felt to be over-stating the raw daily risk given its history. Ex-AR2975 and Ex-AR2976's position over the western limb is contributing to a slightly raised risk of further S1 events.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-05T20:00:00Z">S19W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-05T20:00:00Z">S26W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-05T20:00:00Z">N24E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-05T20:00:00Z">S19E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T20:00:00Z">S31E72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-05T20:00:00Z">N13W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-06T02:00:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-06T02:00:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-06T02:00:36Z</begin><end>2022-04-06T08:00:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. The chances of further moderate flares have been revised downward from raw probabilities, as AR2978 is felt to be over-stating the raw daily risk given its history. Ex-AR2975 and Ex-AR2976's position over the western limb is contributing to a slightly raised risk of further S1 events.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-06T02:00:00Z">S19W36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-06T02:00:00Z">S26W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-06T02:00:00Z">N23E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-06T02:00:00Z">S20E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2986</id><location time="2022-04-06T02:00:00Z">N13W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-06T02:00:00Z">S31E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-06T08:51:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-06T08:51:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-06T08:51:18Z</begin><end>2022-04-06T14:51:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours, and is expected to persist at this level. There remains a slight chance of this increasing to Moderate, primarily from any activity of AR2978.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-06T08:00:00Z">S19W36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-06T08:00:00Z">S25W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-06T08:00:00Z">N23W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-06T08:00:00Z">S20E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2986</id><location time="2022-04-06T08:00:00Z">N13W61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-06T08:00:00Z">S31E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-06T14:35:30Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-06T14:35:30Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-06T14:35:30Z</begin><end>2022-04-06T20:35:30Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours, and is expected to persist at this level. A recent C3 flare was from a region just over the northwest limb and rotating away. There remains a slight, but reducing chance of activity increasing to Moderate, primarily from any activity of AR2978.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-06T14:00:00Z">S19W37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-06T14:00:00Z">S25W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-06T14:00:00Z">N23W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-06T14:00:00Z">S20E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-06T14:00:00Z">S31E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-06T20:01:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-06T20:01:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-06T20:01:18Z</begin><end>2022-04-07T02:01:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the past 24 hours. It is expected to be Low or Very Low, with a slight chance (10%) of increasing to Moderate with an isolated M-class flare. AR2978 is the most likely source of this activity, with the region responsible for the C3 at 06/1020 UTC continuing to rotate away from the limb on the far side.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-06T20:00:00Z">S19W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-06T20:00:00Z">S25W48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-06T20:00:00Z">N24W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-06T20:00:00Z">S19E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-07T02:02:26Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-07T02:02:26Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-07T02:02:26Z</begin><end>2022-04-07T08:02:26Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with only a slight chance (10%) of increasing to Moderate with an isolated M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-07T02:00:00Z">S19W50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-07T02:00:00Z">S27W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-07T02:00:00Z">S20E30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-07T07:38:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-07T07:38:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-07T07:38:13Z</begin><end>2022-04-07T13:38:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with only a slight chance (10%) of increasing to Moderate with an isolated M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-07T07:00:00Z">S19W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-07T07:00:00Z">S24W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-07T07:00:00Z">S21E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-07T15:08:58Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-07T15:08:58Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-07T15:08:58Z</begin><end>2022-04-07T21:08:58Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with only a slight chance (10%) of increasing to Moderate with an isolated M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-07T14:00:00Z">S19W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-07T14:00:00Z">S24W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-07T14:00:00Z">S21E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-07T20:32:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-07T20:32:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-07T20:32:54Z</begin><end>2022-04-08T02:32:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with only a slight chance (5%) of increasing to Moderate with an isolated M-class flare.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-07T19:00:00Z">S19W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-07T19:00:00Z">S24W60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-07T19:00:00Z">S21E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2987</id><location time="2022-04-07T19:00:00Z">S31E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-08T02:04:19Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-08T02:04:19Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-08T02:04:19Z</begin><end>2022-04-08T08:04:19Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Very Low over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain Low or Very Low, with only a slight chance (5%) of increasing to Moderate.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-08T01:00:00Z">S19W61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-08T01:00:00Z">S23W65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-08T01:00:00Z">S21E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2987</id><location time="2022-04-08T01:00:00Z">S31E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-08T01:00:00Z">S21W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-08T08:52:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-08T08:52:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-08T08:52:09Z</begin><end>2022-04-08T14:52:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Very Low with a chance of becoming Low with a 40% probability of a C-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-08T08:00:00Z">S19W65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-08T08:00:00Z">S23W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-08T08:00:00Z">S21E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-08T08:00:00Z">S21W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-08T14:48:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-08T14:48:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-08T14:48:01Z</begin><end>2022-04-08T20:48:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is expected to be Low or Very Low with a 40% chance of another C-class flare. A C1.0 flare was observed at 08/1121 UTC.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-08T14:00:00Z">S18W76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-08T14:00:00Z">S24W72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-08T14:00:00Z">N21W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-08T14:00:00Z">S21E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-08T20:49:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-08T20:49:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-08T20:49:11Z</begin><end>2022-04-09T02:49:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low and is expected to remain Low to Very Low, with a 25% chance of further C-flares from any of the relatively simple sunspots currently on the Earth-facing disc.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-08T20:00:00Z">S18W79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-08T20:00:00Z">S24W77</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-08T20:00:00Z">N21W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-08T20:00:00Z">S21E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-09T02:18:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-09T02:18:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-09T02:18:32Z</begin><end>2022-04-09T08:18:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is currently Low and is expected to remain Low to Very Low, with a 25% chance of further C-flares from any of the relatively simple sunspots currently on the Earth-facing disc.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-09T02:00:00Z">S18W83</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-09T02:00:00Z">S24W81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-09T02:00:00Z">N21W48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-09T02:00:00Z">S21E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-09T08:31:37Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-09T08:31:37Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-09T08:31:37Z</begin><end>2022-04-09T14:31:37Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low and little change is anticipated with a 50% chance of further C-flares which is higher than raw probabilities would suggest given recent history of flaring.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2978</id><location time="2022-04-09T08:00:00Z">S18W86</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2981</id><location time="2022-04-09T08:00:00Z">S23W85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-09T08:00:00Z">N21W51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-09T08:00:00Z">S23E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-09T14:52:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-09T14:52:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-09T14:52:57Z</begin><end>2022-04-09T20:52:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low and little change is anticipated with a 40% chance of further C-flares which is higher than raw probabilities would suggest given recent history of flaring.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-09T14:00:00Z">N21W55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-09T14:00:00Z">S20W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-09T20:41:52Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-09T20:41:52Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-09T20:41:52Z</begin><end>2022-04-10T02:41:52Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with recent C-flares originating from AR2978 just over the southwest limb. As such, there is a chance of further C-flares, and this is expected to reduce as 2978 rotates further away.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-09T20:00:00Z">N21W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2985</id><location time="2022-04-09T20:00:00Z">S21W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-10T02:39:00Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-10T02:39:00Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-10T02:39:00Z</begin><end>2022-04-10T08:39:00Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with any C-flares originating from AR2978 just over the southwest limb. There is a chance of further C-flares, and this is expected to reduce as 2978 rotates further away.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-10T02:00:00Z">N21W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-10T08:30:49Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-10T08:30:49Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-10T08:30:49Z</begin><end>2022-04-10T14:30:49Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with any C-flares originating from AR2978 just over the southwest limb. There is a chance of further C-flares, and this is expected to reduce as 2978 rotates further away.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-10T08:00:00Z">N21W64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-10T14:01:48Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-10T14:01:48Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-10T14:01:48Z</begin><end>2022-04-10T20:01:48Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with any C-flares originating from AR2978 just over the southwest limb. There is a chance of further C-flares, but this chance continues to reduce due to the location of AR2978.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-10T14:00:00Z">N21W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-10T20:34:14Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-10T20:34:14Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-10T20:34:14Z</begin><end>2022-04-11T02:34:14Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with any C-flares most likely to originate from AR2978, now passed over the southwest limb. Probabilities have been raised a little compared to raw figures due to the location of AR2978.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-10T20:00:00Z">N18W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-11T02:26:31Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-11T02:26:31Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-11T02:26:31Z</begin><end>2022-04-11T08:26:31Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C5 flare observed at 09/0240 UTC. Any further&#160; C-flares are considered most likely to originate from AR2978, now passed over the southwest limb. Probabilities have been raised a little compared to raw figures due to the location of AR2978.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2983</id><location time="2022-04-11T02:00:00Z">N14W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-11T08:39:25Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-11T08:39:25Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-11T08:39:25Z</begin><end>2022-04-11T14:39:25Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C1 flare at 11/0521 UTC which originated from a filament eruption in a plage area near south centre disc. Ex-2978 is now well over the southwest limb and as such is unlikely to give further significant flare activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-11T08:00:00Z">N14E59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-11T14:38:20Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-11T14:38:20Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-11T14:38:20Z</begin><end>2022-04-11T20:38:20Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C1 flare at 11/0521 UTC which originated from a filament eruption in a plage area near south centre disc. Ex-2978 is now well over the southwest limb and as such is unlikely to give further significant flare activity. AR2983 will contribute a small amount to flare probabilities until over the limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-11T14:00:00Z">N14E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-11T20:25:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-11T20:25:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-11T20:25:59Z</begin><end>2022-04-12T02:25:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C1 flare at 11/0521 UTC which originated from a filament eruption in a plage area near south centre disc. Activity is most likely to become Very Low during the next 12 to 18 hours.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-11T20:00:00Z">N14E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-12T02:27:50Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-12T02:27:50Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-12T02:27:50Z</begin><end>2022-04-12T08:27:50Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C-class flare at 11/0521 UTC which originated from a filament eruption in a plage area near south centre disc and a C-class flare probably from AR2978 which is no longer visible over the southwest limb at 12/0013UTC. Activity remaining Low.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-12T02:00:00Z">N15E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-12T07:39:20Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-12T07:39:20Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-12T07:39:20Z</begin><end>2022-04-12T13:39:20Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C3.8 flare at 12/0649 UTC which most likely originated from beyond the west limb. Activity remaining Low.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-12T07:00:00Z">N15E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-12T13:19:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-12T13:19:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-12T13:19:57Z</begin><end>2022-04-12T19:19:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with a C3.8 flare at 12/0649 UTC which most likely originated from beyond the west limb. Activity remaining Low.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-12T13:00:00Z">N15E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-12T19:52:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-12T19:52:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-12T19:52:55Z</begin><end>2022-04-13T01:52:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a number of C-class flares over the last 24 hours, with most of these apparently from beyond the western limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-12T20:00:00Z">N15E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-12T20:00:00Z">N18E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-13T02:02:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-13T02:02:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-13T02:02:34Z</begin><end>2022-04-13T08:02:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a number of C-class flares over the last 24 hours, with most of these apparently from beyond the western limb. The two current sunspots present a negligible flare risk.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-13T02:00:00Z">N15E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-13T02:00:00Z">N18E73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-13T07:57:11Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-13T07:57:11Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-13T07:57:11Z</begin><end>2022-04-13T13:57:11Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a number of C-class flares over the last 24 hours, with most of these apparently from beyond the western limb. The three current sunspots present a negligible flare risk.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-13T07:00:00Z">N15E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-13T07:00:00Z">N19E69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-13T07:00:00Z">N16E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-13T13:23:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-13T13:23:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-13T13:23:03Z</begin><end>2022-04-13T19:23:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a small number of C-class flares over the last 24 hours, with most of these apparently from beyond the western limb. The two current numbered sunspots present a negligible flare risk, though the two unnumbered regions will be monitored for development.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-13T13:00:00Z">N15E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-13T13:00:00Z">N19E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-13T13:00:00Z">N15E54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-13T13:00:00Z">S24E85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-13T20:14:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-13T20:14:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-13T20:14:35Z</begin><end>2022-04-14T02:14:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been very low for the last 24 hours, with no C-class flares observed. All the spots on the disc are benign alpha or simple beta regions.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2988</id><location time="2022-04-13T20:00:00Z">N15E28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-13T20:00:00Z">N19E63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-13T20:00:00Z">N15E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-13T20:00:00Z">S24E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-14T02:09:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-14T02:09:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-14T02:09:53Z</begin><end>2022-04-14T08:09:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been very low for the last 24 hours, with no C-class flares observed. All the spots on the disc are benign alpha or simple beta regions.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-14T02:00:00Z">N19E59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-14T02:00:00Z">N15E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-14T02:00:00Z">S24E77</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-14T08:45:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-14T08:45:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-14T08:45:36Z</begin><end>2022-04-14T14:45:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been very low for the last 24 hours, with no C-class flares observed, although the background flux has been steadily rising. There is a chance of activity increasing to Low, with a 30% risk of C-flares.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-14T08:00:00Z">N19E59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-14T08:00:00Z">N15E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-14T08:00:00Z">S24E74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-14T14:56:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-14T14:56:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-14T14:56:55Z</begin><end>2022-04-14T20:56:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been very low for the last 24 hours, with no C-class flares observed, although the background flux has been steadily rising to now being above the C-class level. Any observable flares, would therefore have to to be at least C-class, increasing activity to Low if they occur. There is also a very slightly above background chance of M-flares, primarily due to the approach of potentially notable far-side regions to the East limb.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-14T14:00:00Z">N19E53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-14T14:00:00Z">N15E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-14T14:00:00Z">S24E71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-14T19:58:44Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-14T19:58:44Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-14T19:58:44Z</begin><end>2022-04-15T01:58:44Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been low for the last 24 hours, with just a couple of low C-class flares observed, although the background flux has been steadily rising to now being above the C-class level. Any observable flares, would therefore have to to be at least C-class, increasing activity to Low if they occur. There is also a very slightly above background chance of M-flares, primarily due to the approach of potentially notable far-side regions to the East limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-14T19:00:00Z">N18E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-14T19:00:00Z">N15E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-14T19:00:00Z">S24E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-15T02:12:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-15T02:12:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-15T02:12:36Z</begin><end>2022-04-15T08:12:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been low for the last 24 hours, with a couple of C-class flares observed, although the background flux has been steadily rising to now being above the C-class level. Any observable flares, would therefore have to to be at least C-class. There is also a very slightly above background chance of M-flares, primarily due to the approach of potentially notable far-side regions to the East limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-15T01:00:00Z">N18E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-15T01:00:00Z">N15E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-15T01:00:00Z">S24E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-15T01:00:00Z">S34W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-15T08:36:59Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-15T08:36:59Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-15T08:36:59Z</begin><end>2022-04-15T14:36:59Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low for the last 24 hours, with a couple of rather unusual, long duration C-class flares observed, and this has effectively raised the background flux into the C-class level.. The probability of further C-class flares is therefore significantly higher than raw probabilities would suggest and this gives a chance of M-flares. This being primarily due to the approach of potentially notable far-side regions to the East limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-15T08:00:00Z">N18E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-15T08:00:00Z">N15E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-15T08:00:00Z">S24E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-15T14:44:09Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-15T14:44:09Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-15T14:44:09Z</begin><end>2022-04-15T20:44:09Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has increased to Moderate with a long duration C-class flare and more recently an unusually long duration M-class flare. The probabilities of further C and M-class flares is significantly higher than raw probabilities would suggest, due to the notable eastern limb approaching far-sided regions and this gives a slight chance (10%) for an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-15T14:00:00Z">N18E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-15T14:00:00Z">N15E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-15T14:00:00Z">S24E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-15T19:31:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-15T19:31:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-15T19:31:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-16T01:31:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has increased to Moderate with a long duration C-class flare and more recently an unusually long duration M-class flare. The probabilities of further C and M-class flares is significantly higher than raw probabilities would suggest, due to the notable eastern limb approaching far-sided regions and this gives a slight chance (10%) for an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-15T19:00:00Z">N18E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-15T19:00:00Z">N15E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-15T19:00:00Z">S24E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-16T01:20:18Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-16T01:20:18Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-16T01:20:18Z</begin><end>2022-04-16T07:20:18Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has increased to Moderate with an unusually long duration M-class flare. The probabilities of further C and M-class flares is significantly higher than raw probabilities would suggest, due to the notable eastern limb approaching far-sided regions and this gives a slight chance (5%) for an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-16T01:00:00Z">N18E30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-16T01:00:00Z">N15E20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-16T01:00:00Z">S24E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-16T08:39:06Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-16T08:39:06Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-16T08:39:06Z</begin><end>2022-04-16T14:39:06Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with a long duration M-class flare from over the northeast limb, between 15/1052-1427 UTC. The background x-ray flux is currently in the C-class region. The probability of further M-class flares is significantly higher than raw probabilities would suggest, due to the notable regions currently rotating onto the northeast limb, and this also gives a slight chance of an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-16T08:00:00Z">N18E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-16T08:00:00Z">N15E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-16T08:00:00Z">S24E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-16T14:46:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-16T14:46:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-16T14:46:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-16T20:46:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with numerous C-class flares. The background x-ray flux is currently in the C-class region. The probability of M-class flares is significantly higher than raw probabilities would suggest, due to the notable regions currently rotating onto the northeast limb, and this also gives a slight chance of an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-16T14:00:00Z">N18E22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-16T14:00:00Z">N15E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-16T14:00:00Z">S24E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-16T20:41:07Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-16T20:41:07Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-16T20:41:07Z</begin><end>2022-04-17T02:41:07Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with an M1 flare observed from the northernmost region rotating onto the northeast limb at 16/1456 UTC. Further M-flares are likely during the coming 24 hours, with activity remaining Moderate. There is a very slight chance of X-class flares (R3 Radio Blackouts).&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-16T20:00:00Z">N18E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-16T20:00:00Z">N15E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-16T20:00:00Z">S24E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-16T20:00:00Z">S30W60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-16T20:00:00Z">N21E76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-16T20:00:00Z">N14E79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-17T02:56:08Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-17T02:56:08Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-17T02:56:08Z</begin><end>2022-04-17T08:56:08Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with two M-flares in the last 24 hours, including an M1 flare at 16/1456 UTC and an M1.8 flare at 17/0211 UTC, both observed from AR2993 on the northeast limb. Further M-flares are likely during the coming 24 hours, with activity remaining Moderate. There is a slight chance of X-class flares (R3 Radio Blackouts).</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2989</id><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">N18E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">N15E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">S24E38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">S30W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">N21E74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">N14E80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-17T02:00:00Z">S29W00</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-17T07:44:41Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-17T07:44:41Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-17T07:44:41Z</begin><end>2022-04-17T13:44:41Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with an X1.1 from AR2993 at 17/0331UTC. This was in addition to two other M-flares in the last 24 hours, including an M1 flare at 16/1456 UTC and an M1.8 flare at 17/0211 UTC. Further M-flares are likely during the coming 24 hours, with X-flare risks also upgraded from the raw probability value, given the likelihood of hidden detail on the northeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-17T05:00:00Z">N16E03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-17T05:00:00Z">S24E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-17T05:00:00Z">S30W65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-17T05:00:00Z">N20E74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-17T05:00:00Z">N14E79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-17T14:43:44Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-17T14:43:44Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-17T14:43:44Z</begin><end>2022-04-17T20:43:44Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with an X1.1 from AR2993 at 17/0331UTC. This was in addition to two other M-flares in the last 24 hours, including an M1 flare at 16/1456 UTC and an M1.8 flare at 17/0211 UTC. Further M-flares are likely during the coming 24 hours, with X-flare risks also upgraded from the raw probability value, given the likelihood of hidden detail on the northeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-17T13:45:00Z">N16W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-17T13:45:00Z">S24E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-17T13:45:00Z">S30W70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-17T13:45:00Z">N20E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-17T13:45:00Z">N14E73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-17T20:45:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-17T20:45:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-17T20:45:36Z</begin><end>2022-04-18T02:45:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is High, with an X1.1 from AR2993 at 17/0331UTC. This was in addition to an M-class flare in the past 24 hours. Further M-class flares are likely during the coming 24 hours, with X-flare risks also upgraded from the raw probability value, given the likelihood of hidden detail on the northeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-17T19:00:00Z">N16W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-17T19:00:00Z">S24E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-17T19:00:00Z">S30W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-17T19:00:00Z">N20E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.38</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-17T19:00:00Z">N14E71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-18T03:12:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-18T03:12:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-18T03:12:53Z</begin><end>2022-04-18T09:12:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is High, with an X1.1 from AR2993 at 17/0331UTC. This was in addition to M-class flares in the past 24 hours. Further M-class flares are likely to continue, with X-flare risks also upgraded from the raw probability value, given the likelihood of hidden detail on the northeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-18T02:00:00Z">N16W08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-18T02:00:00Z">S24E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-18T02:00:00Z">S30W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-18T02:00:00Z">N20E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-18T02:00:00Z">N14E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-18T02:00:00Z">S15E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-18T07:20:37Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-18T07:20:37Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-18T07:20:37Z</begin><end>2022-04-18T13:20:37Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with frequent C and M-class flares being generated by growth in AR2992 near the southwestern limb. Further M-class flares are Likely to continue, with X-flare risks rated at a daily 20%. The risk of proton storms is also slightly increased relative to the raw value as a result of AR2992's development.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-18T05:00:00Z">N16W10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-18T05:00:00Z">S24E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-18T05:00:00Z">S30W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-18T05:00:00Z">N20E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-18T05:00:00Z">N14E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-18T05:00:00Z">S15E54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-18T14:40:42Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-18T14:40:42Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-18T14:40:42Z</begin><end>2022-04-18T20:40:42Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with frequent C and M-class flares being generated by growth in AR2992 near the southwestern limb and also AR2993 in the northeast. Further M-class flares are Likely to continue, with X-flare risks rated at a daily 20%. The risk of proton storms is also slightly increased relative to the raw value as a result of AR2992's development.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-18T13:45:00Z">N16W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-18T13:45:00Z">S24E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-18T13:45:00Z">S30W82</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-18T13:45:00Z">N19E60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-18T13:45:00Z">N14E59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-18T13:45:00Z">S15E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-18T20:15:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-18T20:15:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-18T20:15:01Z</begin><end>2022-04-19T02:15:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with the most recent significant flare activity from 2992, which is close to the southwestern limb. M-class flares have also been observed from 2993 in the northeast. Solar activity has otherwise been at a C-class level with further M-class flares expected along with a slight chance of M-class flares. There is also a slightly elevated risk of proton storms from 2992 based on recent activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.75</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-18T20:00:00Z">N16W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-18T20:00:00Z">S24E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-18T20:00:00Z">S30W85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-18T20:00:00Z">N19E57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.89</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-18T20:00:00Z">N14E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-18T20:00:00Z">S15E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-19T02:04:38Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-19T02:04:38Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-19T02:04:38Z</begin><end>2022-04-19T08:04:38Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been moderate, with three M-class flares, two from 2993 and one from 2992 as it rotates across the limb. The risk is dominated by the contribution of 2993 and 2994, which have been relatively quiet over the last 12 hours. There is a risk of ongoing M-class flaring, mainly from the northeast, with a very slight chance of X-ray flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">N16W23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">S24E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2992</id><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">S30W89</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.56</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">N19E57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.89</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.53</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">N14E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">S15E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-19T02:00:00Z">N13E80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-19T07:19:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-19T07:19:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-19T07:19:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-19T13:19:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with four M-class flares in the past 24 hours, three from 2993 and one from 2992 as it rotated across the limb. There is a risk of ongoing M-class flaring, mainly from the northeast, with a Slight Chance of X-ray flares. The proton risk is raised very slightly from baseline due to AR2992's presence over the western limb, although it has no S1 history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-19T05:00:00Z">N16W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-19T05:00:00Z">S24E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-19T05:00:00Z">N20E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-19T05:00:00Z">N14E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-19T05:00:00Z">N13E80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-19T14:25:52Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-19T14:25:52Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-19T14:25:52Z</begin><end>2022-04-19T20:25:52Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with AR2993 the only surviving producer of recent M-class flares. There is a risk of ongoing M-class flaring, mainly from the northeast, with a Slight Chance of X-ray flares. The proton risk is raised very slightly from baseline due to recently active AR2992's presence over the western limb, although it has no S1 history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-19T13:30:00Z">N16W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-19T13:30:00Z">S24E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-19T13:30:00Z">N20E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-19T13:30:00Z">N14E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-19T13:30:00Z">N13E74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-19T20:41:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-19T20:41:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-19T20:41:47Z</begin><end>2022-04-20T02:41:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with an M1 flare from AR2993. Ongoing M-class flaring is likely, mainly from the northeast, with a Slight Chance of X-class flares. The proton risk is raised very slightly from baseline due to recently active AR2992's presence over the western limb, although it has no S1 history, as well as the westward movement of AR2993 and AR2994.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2990</id><location time="2022-04-19T20:00:00Z">N16W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-19T20:00:00Z">S24E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-19T20:00:00Z">N21E38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-19T20:00:00Z">N14E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-19T20:00:00Z">N13E70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-20T02:41:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-20T02:41:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-20T02:41:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-20T08:41:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with an M7 flare from ex-2992 over the southwest limb. The risk of flaring from this region will reduce as it rotates further away from the limb. Flaring is also possible from the regions in the northeast. Ongoing M-class flaring is likely, with a Slight Chance of X-class flares. The proton risk is raised very slightly from baseline due to Ex-2992's presence over the western limb, although it has no S1 history, as well as the westward movement of AR2993 and AR2994.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-20T02:00:00Z">S24W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-20T02:00:00Z">N21E35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-20T02:00:00Z">N14E40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-20T02:00:00Z">N13E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-20T09:01:06Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-20T09:01:06Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-20T09:01:06Z</begin><end>2022-04-20T15:01:06Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been High with an impulsive X2.2 flare observed from AR2992 from over the southwest limb, peaking 20/0357 UTC. The majority of the M-flares observed in the last 24 hours have been from this region, however an M1 flare was likely from AR2993 at 03/0114 UTC. Activity is expected to remain Moderate to High, with a 20% chance of further X-flares from the complex of AR2993 and AR2994. There is a 30% chance of activity falling to Low.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">S24W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N21E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N14E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N13E64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N23W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N24W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-20T15:04:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-20T15:04:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-20T15:04:03Z</begin><end>2022-04-20T21:04:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been High with an impulsive X2.2 flare observed from AR2992 from over the southwest limb, peaking 20/0357 UTC. The majority of the M-flares observed in the last 24 hours have also been from this region. Despite this, activity is expected to remain Moderate to High, with a 20% chance of further X-flares from the complex of AR2993 and AR2994.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">S24W07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N21E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.51</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N14E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N13E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N23W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-20T08:00:00Z">N24W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-20T19:44:45Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-20T19:44:45Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-20T19:44:45Z</begin><end>2022-04-21T01:44:45Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been High with an impulsive X2.2 flare observed from AR2992 from over the southwest limb, peaking 20/0357 UTC. The majority of the M-flares observed in the last 24 hours have also been from this region. Despite this, activity is expected to remain Moderate to High, with a 20% chance of further X-flares from the complex of AR2993 and AR2994.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-20T19:00:00Z">S24W10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-20T19:00:00Z">N21E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.51</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-20T19:00:00Z">N14E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-20T19:00:00Z">N13E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-20T19:00:00Z">N23W40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-20T19:00:00Z">N24W71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-21T01:52:00Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-21T01:52:00Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-21T01:52:00Z</begin><end>2022-04-21T07:52:00Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been High with an impulsive X2.2 flare observed from AR2992 from over the southwest limb, peaking 20/0357 UTC. The majority of the M-flares observed in the last 24 hours have also been from this region. Despite this, activity is expected to remain Moderate to High, with a 20% chance of further X-flares from the complex of AR2993 and AR2994.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-21T01:00:00Z">N22E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.51</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-21T01:00:00Z">N14E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-21T01:00:00Z">N14E59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-21T01:00:00Z">N23W37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-21T01:00:00Z">N24E67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-21T09:00:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-21T09:00:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-21T09:00:05Z</begin><end>2022-04-21T15:00:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Moderate, with a peak flare of M9.6 observed at 21/0159 UTC from AR2993,&#160; Whilst the flare itself was impulsive, the background flux has taken a long time to recede from C4 to around C1-2. The only other M-flare was from AR2992 which rotated off the disc a couple of days ago. Moderate activity is likely to continue with isolated M-flares (R1-R2 Radio Blackouts) and a slight chance (20%) of activity increasing to strong from any X-flares (R3 Radio Blackouts).</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-21T08:00:00Z">S23E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-21T08:00:00Z">N20E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-21T08:00:00Z">N14E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-21T08:00:00Z">N15E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-21T08:00:00Z">N24E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-21T08:00:00Z">N23E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-21T14:40:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-21T14:40:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-21T14:40:03Z</begin><end>2022-04-21T20:40:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Moderate, with a peak flare of M9.6 observed at 21/0159 UTC from AR2993,&#160; Whilst the flare itself was impulsive, the background flux has taken a long time to recede from C4 to around C1-2. Moderate activity is likely to continue with isolated M-flares (R1-R2 Radio Blackouts) and a slight chance (20%) of activity increasing to strong from any X-flares (R3 Radio Blackouts).</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-21T14:00:00Z">S23E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-21T14:00:00Z">N20E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-21T14:00:00Z">N14E20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-21T14:00:00Z">N15E51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-21T14:00:00Z">N24E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-21T20:49:17Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-21T20:49:17Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-21T20:49:17Z</begin><end>2022-04-22T02:49:17Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Moderate, with a peak flare of M9.6 observed at 21/0159 UTC from AR2993. Moderate activity is likely to continue with isolated M-flares (R1-R2 Radio Blackouts) and a slight chance (20%) of activity increasing to strong from any X-flares (R3 Radio Blackouts).</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-21T19:45:00Z">S23E18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-21T19:45:00Z">N20E13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-21T19:45:00Z">N14E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-21T19:45:00Z">N15E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-21T19:45:00Z">N25E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-22T03:00:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-22T03:00:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-22T03:00:57Z</begin><end>2022-04-22T09:00:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been Moderate, with a peak flare of M9.6 observed at 21/0159 UTC from AR2993. Moderate activity is likely to continue with isolated M-flares (R1-R2 Radio Blackouts) and a slight chance (10%) of activity increasing to strong from any X-flares (R3 Radio Blackouts).</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-22T02:00:00Z">S23W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-22T02:00:00Z">N20E09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-22T02:00:00Z">N14E14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-22T02:00:00Z">N15E45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-22T02:00:00Z">N25E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-22T08:54:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-22T08:54:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-22T08:54:36Z</begin><end>2022-04-22T14:54:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been moderate with one M1.1 flare from 2993.&#160; 2993 and 2994 are the most magnetically complex and high risk regions, producing a constant base of C-class activity. Further M-class flares are likely, with a risk of X-class flares from both these regions, given recent history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-22T08:00:00Z">S23W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-22T08:00:00Z">N20E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-22T08:00:00Z">N14E10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-22T08:00:00Z">N15E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-22T08:00:00Z">N25E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-22T15:18:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-22T15:18:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-22T15:18:05Z</begin><end>2022-04-22T21:18:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been moderate with two M-class flares over the last 24 hours, both from 2993 and the second, a M3.4 flare at 22/1327UTC producing a potentially Earth-directed CME. Otherwise there has been a consistent base level of low solar activity. Further M-class flares are expected, with a slight chance of X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">S23W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">N20E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">N14E07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">N15E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">N25E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">N25E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-22T14:00:00Z">N11E76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-22T20:59:37Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-22T20:59:37Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-22T20:59:37Z</begin><end>2022-04-23T02:59:37Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been moderate with two M-class flares over the last 24 hours, both from 2993 with the second the largest, a M3.4 flare peaking at 22/1327UTC. Otherwise, background solar flux remains around the C1-level. Further M-class flares are expected, with a chance of X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">S23W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N20W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N14E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N15E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N25E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N25E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N11E76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-22T20:00:00Z">N17E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-23T03:03:43Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-23T03:03:43Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-23T03:03:43Z</begin><end>2022-04-23T09:03:43Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with two M-class flares over the last 24 hours, both from 2993 with the second the largest, a M3.4 flare peaking at 22/1327UTC. Background solar flux has shown signs of fading, however given the activity over the previous few days, further M-class flares are expected. There is a slight chance of High activity with an isolated X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">S23W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">N20W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">N14E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">N15E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">N25E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">N25E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T02:00:00Z">N11E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-23T09:02:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-23T09:02:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-23T09:02:32Z</begin><end>2022-04-23T15:02:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with one M-class flare over the last 24 hours. This M3.4 from AR2993 peaked at 22/1327UTC. Background solar flux has continued to fade, however given the complexity of 2993 and the region expected to rotate onto the southeastern limb over the next couple of days, further M-class flares are expected. There is a very slight chance of High activity with an isolated X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">N20W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">N14W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">N15E30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">N25E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">N25E57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">N11E71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T08:00:00Z">S20E86</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-23T14:36:35Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-23T14:36:35Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-23T14:36:35Z</begin><end>2022-04-23T20:36:35Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with several C-class flares over the last 24 hours, as the overall flux returned to around background. Given the complexity of 2993 and the region expected to rotate onto the southeastern limb over the next couple of days, C-class flares are Expected, M-class flares are Likely and there remains a Slight Chance of an isolated X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">N20W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">N14W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">N15E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">N25E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">N25E54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">N11E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T14:00:00Z">S20E83</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-23T21:00:27Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-23T21:00:27Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-23T21:00:27Z</begin><end>2022-04-24T03:00:27Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low but with several C-class flares over the last 24 hours, primarily from AR2993. This spot has a history of M-flares, whilst AR2994 whilst now stable has historically produced an X1.1 flare. Due to this history of significant flaring, and the potential instability of AR2993, activity is likely to increase to Moderate with further M-flares still considered likely, along with a slight chance of X-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">S23W53</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">N20W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">N14W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">N16E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">N24E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">N11E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">S20E80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-23T20:00:00Z">N17E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-24T02:34:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-24T02:34:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-24T02:34:33Z</begin><end>2022-04-24T08:34:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low but with several C-class flares over the last 24 hours, primarily from AR2993. This spot has a history of M-flares, whilst AR2994 whilst now stable has historically produced an X1.1 flare. Due to this history of significant flaring, and the potential instability of AR2993, activity is likely to increase to Moderate with further M-flares still considered likely, along with a slight chance of X-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">S23W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">N20W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">N14W13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">N16E20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">N24E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">N11E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">S20E76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-24T02:00:00Z">N17E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-24T08:33:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-24T08:33:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-24T08:33:34Z</begin><end>2022-04-24T14:33:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with several C-class flares over the last 24 hours, primarily from AR2993. This spot has a history of M-flares, whilst AR2994 whilst now stable has historically produced an X1.1 flare. Though current activity is Low, due to the history of significant flaring, the potential instability of AR2993, and the raw percentage risks of sunspots on the disk, activity is likely to increase to Moderate at times with further M-flares still considered likely, along with a slight chance of X-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">S23W55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">N20W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">N14W16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">N16E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">N24E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">N11E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">S20E73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-24T08:00:00Z">N17E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-24T14:37:34Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-24T14:37:34Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-24T14:37:34Z</begin><end>2022-04-24T20:37:34Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with several C-class flares over the last 24 hours, primarily from AR2993 and AR2994. These spots have history of M and X-flares. Due to the history of significant flaring and the potential instability of both spots, activity is likely to increase to Moderate at times with further M-flares still considered likely, along with a slight chance of X-flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2991</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">S23W58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">N20W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">N14W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">N14E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">N24E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">N11E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">S20E70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-24T14:00:00Z">N17W01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-24T20:47:36Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-24T20:47:36Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-24T20:47:36Z</begin><end>2022-04-25T02:47:36Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with several C-class flares over the last 24 hours, primarily from AR2993 and AR2994, but also with some activity from AR2998 near the southwest limb. Both 2993 and 2994 have a history of significant flaring and some magnetic instability. However, recent quiet conditions mean that flare probabilities have been reduced slightly with a chance of M-class flares and just a slight chance of X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-24T20:00:00Z">N21W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-24T20:00:00Z">N14W23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.81</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-24T20:00:00Z">N14E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-24T20:00:00Z">N24E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-24T20:00:00Z">N12E51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-24T20:00:00Z">S20E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-25T03:02:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-25T03:02:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-25T03:02:56Z</begin><end>2022-04-25T09:02:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with an M1 flare from AR2993 peaking at 25/0201 UTC. Recent C-flaring has come primarily from AR2993 and AR2994, but also with some activity from near AR2998 or from over the southeast limb. Both 2993 and 2994 have a history of M or X-class flaring and some magnetic instability. There is a chance of further M-class flares and just a slight chance of X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-25T02:00:00Z">N21W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-25T02:00:00Z">N14W26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-25T02:00:00Z">N14E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-25T02:00:00Z">N25E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-25T02:00:00Z">N12E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-25T02:00:00Z">S20E63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-25T08:10:10Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-25T08:10:10Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-25T08:10:10Z</begin><end>2022-04-25T14:10:10Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with two M1 flares coming from AR2993 during the past 6 hours. Occasional C-flaring has come primarily from AR2993 and AR2994, but also with some activity from near AR2998 or from over the southeast limb. Both 2993 and 2994 have a history of M or X-class flaring and some magnetic instability. There is a chance of further M-class flares and just a slight chance of an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-25T08:00:00Z">N19W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.54</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-25T08:00:00Z">N14W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-25T08:00:00Z">N14W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-25T08:00:00Z">N25E14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-25T08:00:00Z">N12E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-25T08:00:00Z">S20E60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-25T14:01:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-25T14:01:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-25T14:01:32Z</begin><end>2022-04-25T20:01:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate over the past 24 hours, with two M1 flares coming from AR2993. Occasional C-flaring has come primarily from AR2993 and AR2994, but also with some activity from near AR2998 or from over the southeast limb. Both 2993 and 2994 have a history of M or X-class flaring and some magnetic instability. There is a chance of further M-class flares and a slight chance of an X-class flare.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-25T14:00:00Z">N19W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.54</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.23</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-25T14:00:00Z">N14W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-25T14:00:00Z">N14W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-25T14:00:00Z">N25E10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-25T14:00:00Z">N12E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2998</id><location time="2022-04-25T14:00:00Z">S20E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-25T20:44:50Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-25T20:44:50Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-25T20:44:50Z</begin><end>2022-04-26T02:44:50Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity continues to be moderate, with two M1 flares emanating from AR2993. The overall base flare&#160; level is currently C-class, with a C4.6 flare from AR2994. This shows that these regions still have the potential for significant flaring and continue to be monitored.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-25T20:00:00Z">N19W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-25T20:00:00Z">N14W36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.79</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.34</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-25T20:00:00Z">N14W10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-25T20:00:00Z">N25E05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-25T20:00:00Z">N12E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-25T20:00:00Z">S20E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-26T02:17:32Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-26T02:17:32Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-26T02:17:32Z</begin><end>2022-04-26T08:17:32Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity continues to be moderate, with two M1 flares emanating from AR2993 in the last 24 hours.. The overall base flare level is currently C-class, with a C4.6 flare observed from AR2994. This shows that these regions still have the potential for significant flaring and continue to be monitored. A far-sided CME, just beyond the southeast limb indicates that further significant active regions could rotate onto the visible disc over the next 24 hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-26T02:00:00Z">N19W45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-26T02:00:00Z">N14W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-26T02:00:00Z">N14W13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-26T02:00:00Z">N25E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-26T02:00:00Z">N12E34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-26T02:00:00Z">S20E49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-26T08:44:16Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-26T08:44:16Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-26T08:44:16Z</begin><end>2022-04-26T14:44:16Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is now Low, with only C-class flares in the last 24 hours. Whilst region 2993 has shown some simplification in recent hours, there are two new regions rotating onto the southeast limb which have yet to be fully assessed. Therefore, a 50% risk of M-class flares is maintained with a 10% risk of X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N20W48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.36</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N14W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N14W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N25E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N12E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">S20E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">S17E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">S31E85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-26T14:59:26Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-26T14:59:26Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-26T14:59:26Z</begin><end>2022-04-26T20:59:26Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low, with only C-class flares in the last 24 hours. Whilst region 2993 has shown some simplification in recent hours, there are two new regions rotating onto the southeast limb which have yet to be fully assessed. Therefore, a 50% risk of M-class flares is maintained with a 10% risk of X-class flares.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N19W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.36</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.11</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N14W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N14W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N25W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">N12E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">S20E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">S17E76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-26T08:00:00Z">S31E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-26T20:59:49Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-26T20:59:49Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-26T20:59:49Z</begin><end>2022-04-27T02:59:49Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a consistent C-class X-ray flux observation through the last 24 hours, along with two long period, C-class flares. There continues to be a risk of further C-class flares with both 2993 and 2994 presenting a likelihood of M-class flares and a slight chance of X-class flaring. there is also a risk of proton storms from these two regions given their position in the western hemisphere.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">N19W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.52</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">N14W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">N14W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">N25W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">N12E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">S20E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">S17E73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-26T20:00:00Z">S31E78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-27T03:04:30Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-27T03:04:30Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-27T03:04:30Z</begin><end>2022-04-27T09:04:30Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a number of C-class flares. There continues to be a risk of further C-class flares with both 2993 and 2994 presenting a likelihood of M-class flares and a slight chance of X-class flaring. There is also a risk of proton storms from these two regions given their position in the western hemisphere.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">N19W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.52</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">N14W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">N14W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">N25W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">N12E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">S20E38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">S17E70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-27T02:00:00Z">S31E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-27T08:45:52Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-27T08:45:52Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-27T08:45:52Z</begin><end>2022-04-27T14:45:52Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a number of C-class flares. Despite some simplification of a number of the active regions on the visible disc, there continues to be a chance of M-class flares and a slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994. There is also a slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">N20W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">N14W55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">N14W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">N24W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">N12E21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">S20E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">S17E62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">S31E70</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-27T08:00:00Z">N14E50</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-27T14:59:38Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-27T14:59:38Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-27T14:59:38Z</begin><end>2022-04-27T20:59:38Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with a number of C-class flares. Despite some simplification of a number of the active regions on the visible disc, there continues to be a chance of M-class flares and a slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994. There is also a slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>1.0</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">N20W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">N14W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.19</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">N14W31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2996</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">N24W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">N11E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">S20E31</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">S17E64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">S31E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-27T13:00:00Z">N14E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-27T20:34:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-27T20:34:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-27T20:34:54Z</begin><end>2022-04-28T02:34:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with several C-class flares in the past 24 hours. There remains a chance of M-class flares and a very slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994 which is approaching the northwest limb. There is also a very slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">N20W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">N14W62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">N14W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">N11E10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">S20E27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">S17E60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">S31E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">N14E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">S11E49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-27T20:00:00Z">N31E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-28T02:40:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-28T02:40:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-28T02:40:03Z</begin><end>2022-04-28T08:40:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with several C-class flares in the past 24 hours. There remains a chance of M-class flares and a very slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994 which is approaching the northwest limb. There is also a very slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">N20W71</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">N14W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">N14W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">N11E06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">S20E23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">S17E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">S31E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-28T02:00:00Z">N14E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-28T08:46:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-28T08:46:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-28T08:46:03Z</begin><end>2022-04-28T14:46:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with several C-class flares in the past 24 hours, the most recent a C6.7 from ex-2996 in the northwest quadrant at 28/0306 UTC. There remains a chance of M-class flares and a very slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994 which is approaching the northwest limb. There is also a very slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.95</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">N20W74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">N14W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">N14W42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">N11E03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">S20E20</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">S17E54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">S31E58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3002</id><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">N13E35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">S15E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-28T08:00:00Z">N30E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-28T15:25:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-28T15:25:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-28T15:25:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-28T21:25:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with occasional C-class flares in the past 24 hours, the most significant a C6.7 from ex-2996 in the northwest quadrant at 28/0306 UTC. There remains a chance of M-class flares and just a very slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994 which is approaching the northwest limb. There is also a very slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.25</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">N20W77</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">N14W72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">N14W45</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">N11E00</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">S20E17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">S17E51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">S31E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3002</id><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">N13E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-28T14:00:00Z">S15E72</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-28T20:28:04Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-28T20:28:04Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-28T20:28:04Z</begin><end>2022-04-29T02:28:04Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with occasional C-class flares in the past 24 hours, the largest a C6.7 from ex-2996 in the northwest quadrant at 28/0306 UTC, and more recently a C3.6 from AR2994. There remains a chance of M-class flares and just a very slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994 which is approaching the northwest limb. There is also a very slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">N20W80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">N14W75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">N14W48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">N11W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">S20E14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">S17E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">S31E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3002</id><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">N13E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-28T19:15:00Z">S15E69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-29T02:28:12Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-29T02:28:12Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-29T02:28:12Z</begin><end>2022-04-29T08:28:12Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low, with occasional C-class flares in the past 24 hours, the largest a C6.7 from ex-2996 in the northwest quadrant at 28/0306 UTC, and more recently a C3.6 from AR2994. There remains a chance of M-class flares and just a very slight chance of X-class flaring, most likely from AR2994 which is approaching the northwest limb. There is also a very slight chance of proton storms with AR2994 in a favourable position for an event to take place.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2993</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">N20W85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">N14W79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.55</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">N14W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">N11W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">S20E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">S17E44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">S31E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3002</id><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">N14E24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-29T01:15:00Z">S15E65</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-29T08:26:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-29T08:26:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-29T08:26:56Z</begin><end>2022-04-29T14:26:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2993 is now no longer visible, and the leading group of AR2994 has also ceased to be visible, meaning that the risk of flares from this part of sun is likely to be understated based on raw probabilities alone. In addition, peak activity of an isolated M1 flare came from a plage remnant of Ex-2996 in the northwest, complicating the forecast. On balance, C-class activity is Expected, with a daily Chance of M-class.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2994</id><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">N14W76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">N15W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">N11W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">S19E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">S17E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">S32E47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">S15E66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-29T05:00:00Z">S24E62</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-29T14:15:26Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-29T14:15:26Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-29T14:15:26Z</begin><end>2022-04-29T20:15:26Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>AR2993 and AR2994 are now no longer visible. The risk of flares from this part of sun is likely to be understated based on raw probabilities alone. In addition, peak activity of an isolated M1 flare came from a plage remnant of Ex-2996 in the northwest, complicating the forecast. On balance, C-class activity is Expected, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class. The M1.2 flare also generated a minor proton response at GOES16, however this risk is felt to be covered in the issued figures.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">N15W59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">N11W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">S19E07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">S17E37</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">S32E42</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">S15E61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-04-29T13:15:00Z">S23E56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-29T21:24:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-29T21:24:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-29T21:24:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-30T03:24:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with two M1 flares in the past 24 hours. AR2993 and AR2994 are now no longer visible. However, 2994 produced an M1 flare at 29/1810UTC. In addition, the other M1 flare came from a plage remnant of Ex-2996 in the northwest. The risk of flares from this part of sun is likely to be understated based on raw probabilities alone. On balance, C-class activity is Expected, with a daily Slight Chance of M-class. The M1 flare from ex-2996 also generated a minor proton response at GOES16, however this risk is felt to be covered in the issued figures.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-29T20:00:00Z">N15W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-29T20:00:00Z">N11W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-29T20:00:00Z">S19E03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3000</id><location time="2022-04-29T20:00:00Z">S17E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-29T20:00:00Z">S32E38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3003</id><location time="2022-04-29T20:00:00Z">S23E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-30T02:34:21Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-30T02:34:21Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-30T02:34:21Z</begin><end>2022-04-30T08:34:21Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate with two M1 flares in the past 24 hours. Although now rotated just around the west limb, AR2994 produced an M1 flare at 29/1810UTC, with several C-class flares since, the largest a C5 at 30/0129 UTC. In addition, the other M1 flare came from a plage remnant of Ex-2996 in the northwest, during the morning UTC of 29th. The risk of flares from this NW part of the disc is likely to be understated at present based on raw probabilities alone. On balance, C-class activity is Expected, with a Slight Chance of M-class. The M1 flare from ex-2996 also generated a minor proton response at GOES16, however this is slowly declining now, and the risk is felt to be covered in the issued figures.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-30T02:00:00Z">N15W66</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-30T02:00:00Z">N11W21</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-30T02:00:00Z">S19W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.24</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-30T02:00:00Z">S32E35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-30T08:12:31Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-30T08:12:31Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-30T08:12:31Z</begin><end>2022-04-30T14:12:31Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with three M-class flares observed, all from ex-2994, which is beyond the western limb. A series of C-class flares have also been observed from this region, along with a further C-class flare from 3001 which is an apparently simple region in the southeast, but which is accompanied by a large plage region and what appears to be a complex magnetic field.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-30T08:00:00Z">N15W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-30T08:00:00Z">N11W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-30T08:00:00Z">S19W06</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.43</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.07</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-30T08:00:00Z">S32E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-30T14:45:02Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-30T14:45:02Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-30T14:45:02Z</begin><end>2022-04-30T20:45:02Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High with a X1.1 flare at 30/1347UTC from ex-2994, just beyond the northwestern limb. This has been the source of four M-class flares through the last 24 hours in addition to the recent X-class flare. As a result the probabilities for further M and X class flares are increased significantly above those for the visible regions, with the main contribution due to ex-2994.Further Moderate activity is expected, with a slight chance of X-class flares as the region rotates away from view. There is also an increased risk of a proton storm through the next 12-18 hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-30T14:00:00Z">N15W73</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-30T14:00:00Z">N11W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-30T14:00:00Z">S19W04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.43</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.07</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-30T14:00:00Z">S32E33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-04-30T20:57:14Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-04-30T20:57:14Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-04-30T20:57:14Z</begin><end>2022-05-01T02:57:14Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been High due to an X1.1 flare from AR2994, peaking 30/1347 UTC. This was despite the region being on the far-side, having recently rotated over the northwest horizon. This has also been the source of four M-flares in the last 24 hours. There is a chance of further M-flares from this region, with a slight but decreasing chance of X-flares. Otherwise activity is expected to decline as this rotates further around the limb, with the sunspots on the Earth-side of the disc currently small and simple.&#160;</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-04-30T20:00:00Z">N15W76</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-04-30T20:00:00Z">N12W27</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-04-30T20:00:00Z">S21W12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-04-30T20:00:00Z">S32E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-01T02:42:49Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-01T02:42:49Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-01T02:42:49Z</begin><end>2022-05-01T08:42:49Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar Activity has been High due to an X1.1 flare from AR2994, peaking 30/1347 UTC. This was despite the region being on the far-side, having recently rotated over the northwest horizon. This has also been the source of four M-flares in the last 24 hours. There is a chance of further M-flares from this region. Otherwise activity is expected to decline as this rotates further around the limb, with the sunspots on the Earth-side of the disc currently small and simple.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-05-01T02:00:00Z">N15W79</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-05-01T02:00:00Z">N12W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-01T02:00:00Z">S21W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-01T02:00:00Z">S32E29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-01T09:00:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-01T09:00:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-01T09:00:47Z</begin><end>2022-05-01T15:00:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High due to an X1.1 flare from AR2994, peaking 30/1347 UTC. This region is beyond the northwest limb, but as looping from the region is visible, this still presents a further, but reducing risk of further flare activity. This risk is reflected by a 5% risk of X-class flaring during the next 24 hours. The other regions are considered simple and stable, with no significant risk of M or X class flaring from these regions.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-05-01T08:00:00Z">N15W82</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-05-01T08:00:00Z">N12W33</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-01T08:00:00Z">S21W18</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-01T08:00:00Z">S32E26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-01T15:04:40Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-01T15:04:40Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-01T15:04:40Z</begin><end>2022-05-01T21:04:40Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High due to an X1.1 flare from AR2994, peaking 30/1347 UTC. This region is beyond the northwest limb, but as looping from the region is visible, this still presents a further, but reducing risk of further flare activity with some recent C-class flares observed. This risk is reflected by a 5% risk of X-class flaring during the next 24 hours. The other regions are considered simple and stable, with no significant risk of M or X class flaring from these regions.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2995</id><location time="2022-05-01T14:00:00Z">N15W86</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-01T14:00:00Z">S21W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-01T14:00:00Z">S32E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-01T19:12:53Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-01T19:12:53Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-01T19:12:53Z</begin><end>2022-05-02T01:12:53Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate in the past 24 hours. There remains a risk of further such activity while Ex-2993, Ex-2994 and Ex-2996 remain near the northwestern horizon, while the is also an increasing chance of activity due to returning Ex-2992 near the southeastern limb. Raw flare probabilities are therefore greatly increase above background to account for this.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-01T17:00:00Z">S20W24</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-01T17:00:00Z">S32E16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-02T02:08:33Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-02T02:08:33Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-02T02:08:33Z</begin><end>2022-05-02T08:08:33Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. There remains a Slight Chance of M-class activity while Ex-2993, Ex-2994 and Ex-2996 remain near the northwestern horizon, while the is also an increasing chance of activity due to returning Ex-2992 near the southeastern limb. Raw flare probabilities are therefore increased above background to account for this.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-02T01:15:00Z">S20W29</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-02T01:15:00Z">S32E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-02T08:11:22Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-02T08:11:22Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-02T08:11:22Z</begin><end>2022-05-02T14:11:22Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. There remains a Slight Chance of M-class activity while Ex-2993, Ex-2994 and Ex-2996 remain near the northwestern horizon, while there is also an increasing chance of activity due to returning Ex-2992 near the southeastern limb. Raw flare probabilities are therefore increased above background to account for this.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-02T08:00:00Z">S20W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-02T08:00:00Z">S32E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-02T14:07:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-02T14:07:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-02T14:07:05Z</begin><end>2022-05-02T20:07:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low in the past 24 hours. There remains a Slight Chance of M-class activity while Ex-2993, Ex-2994 and Ex-2996 remain near the northwestern horizon, while there is also an increasing chance of activity due to returning Ex-2992 near the southeastern limb. Raw flare probabilities are slightly increased above background to account for this.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-02T14:00:00Z">S20W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-02T14:00:00Z">S32E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-02T14:00:00Z">N20E11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-02T14:00:00Z">S16E19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-02T20:28:02Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-02T20:28:02Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-02T20:28:02Z</begin><end>2022-05-03T02:28:02Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with three C-class flares. Two of these appear to have emanated from far-sided region ex-2994, with prominences from this region extending above the horizon. The most recent C-class flare is from a region beyond the southeast limb, estimated to be ex-2992, which produced an X2.2 on the previous rotation and appears to still be significantly active. Due to the activity of the far-sided regions, the overall risk of further C-class flares is above that of the total risk of visible active regions.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-02T20:00:00Z">S20W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-02T20:00:00Z">S32E01</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-02T20:00:00Z">S16E15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3005</id><location time="2022-05-02T20:00:00Z">N20E07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-03T02:51:03Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-03T02:51:03Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-03T02:51:03Z</begin><end>2022-05-03T08:51:03Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low with only C-class flares. Two of these appear to have emanated from far-sided region ex-2994, with prominences from this region extending above the horizon. The two most recent C-class flare is from a region on the southeast limb, estimated to be ex-2992, which produced an X2.2 on the previous rotation and appears to still be significantly active. Although all the visible regions appear to be relatively benign, the overall risk of further C-class flares is above that of the total risk of these visible active regions.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.8</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-05-03T02:00:00Z">N12W56</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-03T02:00:00Z">S20W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-03T02:00:00Z">S32W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-03T02:00:00Z">S16E12</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.13</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3005</id><location time="2022-05-03T02:00:00Z">N20E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-03T02:00:00Z">N19E39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-03T08:32:27Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-03T08:32:27Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-03T08:32:27Z</begin><end>2022-05-03T14:32:27Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has reached Moderate levels with an impulsive M1 flare at 03/0755UTC. This appears to have originated from ex-2992 (currently transiting the southeast limb), which produced an X2.2 on the previous rotation, and appears to still be significantly active, producing several other C-class flares in the last 12 hours or so. This region is likely to increase flare probabilities once it can be fully assessed as it rotates into view. Although all the visible regions appear to be relatively benign, the issued flare probabilities are increased above raw values to reflect the above recent activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.85</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2997</id><location time="2022-05-03T07:00:00Z">N12W61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-03T07:00:00Z">S20W44</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-03T07:00:00Z">S32W05</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-03T07:00:00Z">S16E08</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.16</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.04</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3005</id><location time="2022-05-03T07:00:00Z">N20E02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-03T07:00:00Z">N19E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-03T15:45:29Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-03T15:45:29Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-03T15:45:29Z</begin><end>2022-05-03T21:45:29Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has increased to High levels with an impulsive X1 flare at 03/1325UTC. This&#160; originated from ex-2992 (currently transiting the southeast limb), which also produced an X2.2 on the previous rotation. Prior to the X1 flare, this region also produced an M1 flare at 03/0753UTC, and several other C-class flares in the last 18 hours. This region is likely to increase flare probabilities once it can be fully assessed as it rotates into view. The issued flare probabilities are increased above raw values to reflect the above recent increased activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-03T14:00:00Z">S20W49</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-03T14:00:00Z">S32W09</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-03T14:00:00Z">S16E04</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3005</id><location time="2022-05-03T14:00:00Z">N20W02</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-03T14:00:00Z">N19E32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-03T20:59:25Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-03T20:59:25Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-03T20:59:25Z</begin><end>2022-05-04T02:59:25Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High with one X1.1 observed from the plage region on the southeast limb, which is the return of previous region ex-2992. Despite the activity, no spots are discernible, so the area cannot be classified as an active region. 3001 (Dai/Beta) presents the greatest flare risk of the visible regions, but has no recent history of significant flare activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-03T20:00:00Z">S20W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-03T20:00:00Z">S32W13</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-03T20:00:00Z">S16E00</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-04T03:00:08Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-04T03:00:08Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-04T03:00:08Z</begin><end>2022-05-04T09:00:08Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with the new region on the southeast limb producing an X1.1 flare at 03/1325UTC and an M5.3 flare at 04/0019UTC. AR3004, near to the central disc has not yet produced a significant flare, but the flux ion the region appears to be increasing, based on the brightness on SDO AIA 94 imagery. The remaining regions both appear stable with little flux potential.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-04T02:00:00Z">S20W55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-04T02:00:00Z">S32W16</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-04T02:00:00Z">S16W03</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-04T02:00:00Z">S30E81</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-04T09:10:05Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-04T09:10:05Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-04T09:10:05Z</begin><end>2022-05-04T15:10:05Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with the emerging region on the southeast limb producing an X1.1 flare at 03/1325UTC, and M6 at 04/0900UTC, and an M5.3 flare at 04/0019UTC. AR3004, near to the central disc has not yet produced a significant flare, but the flux ion the region appears to be increasing, based on the brightness on SDO AIA 94 imagery. The remaining regions both appear stable with little flare activity. Issued flare probabilities are increased relative to raw values to reflect recent flare activity, and incomplete analysis of the emerging active region at the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-04T08:00:00Z">S20W58</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-04T08:00:00Z">S32W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-04T08:00:00Z">S16W07</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-04T08:00:00Z">S30E78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-04T15:20:55Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-04T15:20:55Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-04T15:20:55Z</begin><end>2022-05-04T21:20:55Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with the emerging region on the southeast limb producing an X1.1 flare at 03/1325UTC, and an M5.3 flare at 04/0019UTC. AR3004, near to the central disc has also produced an M5.7 at 04/0900UTC,&#160;The other two regions in the southwest quadrant both appear stable with little flare activity. Issued flare probabilities are increased relative to raw values to reflect recent flare activity, and incomplete analysis of the emerging active region at the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-04T14:00:00Z">S20W61</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-04T14:00:00Z">S32W22</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-04T14:00:00Z">S16W10</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-04T14:00:00Z">S30E75</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-04T20:48:54Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-04T20:48:54Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-04T20:48:54Z</begin><end>2022-05-05T02:48:54Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with the emerging region on the southeast limb producing an X1.1 flare at 03/1325UTC, and an M5.3 flare at 04/0019UTC. AR3004, near to the central disc has also produced an M5.7 at 04/0900UTC and continues to produce minor M-class flares at present,&#160;The other two regions in the southwest quadrant both appear stable with little flare activity. Issued flare probabilities are increased relative to raw values to reflect recent flare activity, and incomplete analysis of the emerging active region at the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-04T20:00:00Z">S20W64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-04T20:00:00Z">S32W25</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-04T20:00:00Z">S16W14</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-04T20:00:00Z">S30E68</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-05T02:03:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-05T02:03:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-05T02:03:47Z</begin><end>2022-05-05T08:03:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been High, with the emerging region on the southeast limb producing an X1.1 flare at 03/1325UTC, and an M5.3 flare at 04/0019UTC. AR3004, near to the central disc has also produced an M5.7 at 04/0900UTC and continues to produce minor M-class flares at present,&#160;The other two regions in the southwest quadrant both appear stable with little flare activity. Issued flare probabilities are increased relative to raw values to reflect recent flare activity, and incomplete analysis of the emerging active region at the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-05T02:00:00Z">S20W67</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-05T02:00:00Z">S32W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-05T02:00:00Z">S15W17</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-05T02:00:00Z">S30E64</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.15</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-05T08:37:08Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-05T08:37:08Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-05T08:37:08Z</begin><end>2022-05-05T14:37:08Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with an M5.7 from AR3001 at 04/0900UTC. Issued flare probabilities are increased slightly relative to raw values to reflect recent flare activity, and incomplete analysis of the emerging active region at the southeast limb.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-05T05:00:00Z">S21W69</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-05T05:00:00Z">S32W30</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-05T05:00:00Z">S15W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-05T05:00:00Z">S30E63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.35</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-05T14:23:29Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-05T14:23:29Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-05T14:23:29Z</begin><end>2022-05-05T20:23:29Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with further small M-class flares from AR3004 and AR3006. Issued flare probabilities are increased slightly relative to raw values to reflect recent flares and the presence of delta spots.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-05T13:45:00Z">S21W74</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-05T13:45:00Z">S32W34</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-05T13:45:00Z">S16W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-05T13:45:00Z">S30E59</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-05T20:35:57Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-05T20:35:57Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-05T20:35:57Z</begin><end>2022-05-06T02:35:57Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate, with small M-class flares from AR3004 and AR3006. Issued flare probabilities are increased slightly relative to raw values to reflect recent flares and the presence of delta spots.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-05T19:30:00Z">S21W78</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-05T19:30:00Z">S32W38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-05T19:30:00Z">S16W23</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-05T19:30:00Z">S30E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-06T02:15:50Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-06T02:15:50Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-06T02:15:50Z</begin><end>2022-05-06T08:15:50Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate during the past 24 hours, with small M-class flares from AR3004 and AR3006. Issued flare probabilities are increased slightly relative to raw values to reflect recent flares and the continued presence of delta spots.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-06T01:00:00Z">S21W80</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-06T01:00:00Z">S32W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-06T01:00:00Z">S16W26</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.83</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.44</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-06T01:00:00Z">S31E55</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.21</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-06T01:00:00Z">S16W19</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-06T07:34:43Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-06T07:34:43Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-06T07:34:43Z</begin><end>2022-05-06T13:34:43Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate during the past 24 hours, with further small M-class flares from AR3004 and AR3006. Issued flare probabilities are increased slightly relative to raw values to reflect recent flares and the continued presence of delta spots.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.99</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.6</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.2</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">2999</id><location time="2022-05-06T05:00:00Z">S21W85</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-06T05:00:00Z">S32W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3003</id><location time="2022-05-06T05:00:00Z">S21W11</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-06T05:00:00Z">S15W32</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.66</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-06T05:00:00Z">S31E52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-06T14:08:13Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-06T14:08:13Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-06T14:08:13Z</begin><end>2022-05-06T20:08:13Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Moderate during the past 24 hours, although there have been fewer, smaller flares through this period. Issued flare probabilities have been revised to nearer the suggested values given the recent lull in activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-06T13:15:00Z">S32W47</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3003</id><location time="2022-05-06T13:15:00Z">S21W15</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-06T13:15:00Z">S15W36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.66</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-06T13:15:00Z">S31E48</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.68</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.22</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-06T20:30:47Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-06T20:30:47Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-06T20:30:47Z</begin><end>2022-05-07T02:30:47Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low during the past 24 hours, with frequent C-class flares. Issued flare probabilities remain close to the raw values, in light of the recent lack of significant activity.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-06T19:00:00Z">S32W51</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-06T19:00:00Z">S15W40</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.66</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.37</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-06T19:00:00Z">S32E46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-07T02:18:01Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-07T02:18:01Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-07T02:18:01Z</begin><end>2022-05-07T08:18:01Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been Low during the past 24 hours, with frequent C-class flares. Issued flare probabilities are higher than the raw probabilities due to the continued presence of delta spots in two regions, and the past history of these regions.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.5</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.1</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-07T01:00:00Z">S32W54</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-07T01:00:00Z">S15W43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-07T01:00:00Z">S32E43</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.65</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.14</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-07T01:00:00Z">S16W28</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-07T09:05:56Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-07T09:05:56Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-07T09:05:56Z</begin><end>2022-05-07T15:05:56Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low with several C-class flares. Flare probabilities are rather higher than raw probabilities due to recent flaring history.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-07T08:00:00Z">S32W57</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-07T08:00:00Z">S16W46</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.7</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.09</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-07T08:00:00Z">S32E41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-07T08:00:00Z">S17W35</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.06</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-07T14:27:42Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-07T14:27:42Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-07T14:27:42Z</begin><end>2022-05-07T20:27:42Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity is Low with several C-class flares. Little overall change is likely with a 40% probability for Moderate activity with an isolated M-class flare probably occurring at some point in the next 24-36 hours.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-07T14:00:00Z">S32W60</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-07T14:00:00Z">S15W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.3</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-07T14:00:00Z">S32E38</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.12</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-07T14:00:00Z">S16W39</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


issuetime: 2022-05-07T19:52:38Z
xml:
<forecast property="solarflareoccurence"><method>Met Office Forecaster</method><issuetime>2022-05-07T19:52:38Z</issuetime><forecasttype>Full Disk</forecasttype><predictionwindow><begin>2022-05-07T19:52:38Z</begin><end>2022-05-08T01:52:38Z</end></predictionwindow><comment>Solar activity has been, Low with several C-class flares. Issued flare probabilities are held in line with raw probabilities.</comment><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.9</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.4</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3001</id><location time="2022-05-07T17:00:00Z">S32W63</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.05</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.02</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3004</id><location time="2022-05-07T17:00:00Z">S15W52</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.72</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.26</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><id scheme="NOAA">3006</id><location time="2022-05-07T17:00:00Z">S31E36</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.68</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.22</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-07T17:00:00Z">S17W41</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.01</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group><group><sourceregion><location time="2022-05-07T17:00:00Z">S25E84</location></sourceregion><entry><fluxbin name="C" /><probability><value>0.08</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="M" /><probability><value>0.03</value></probability></entry><entry><fluxbin name="X" /><probability><value>0.0</value></probability></entry></group></forecast>


